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The Day Ahead: U.S. Trade Data Tuesday, Fed Minutes on Wednesday

The U.S. trade report for August is due Tuesday, Oct. 6, at 8:30 a.m. ET, with Fed minutes from the September meeting following on Wednesday.

By Global Market Now Staff · · 2 min read

An aerial view of stacked shipping containers in a port yard
Photo: CHUTTERSNAP / Unsplash

Why it matters

  • The August trade report, due Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. ET, shows how much the U.S. imports and exports.
  • Minutes from the Fed's Sept. 15–16 meeting, out Wednesday, may show how officials weighed another rate increase.
  • Europe's data comes as the euro sits near its weakest level since May 2025.

The day ahead: scheduled events and what forecasters expect.

Updated Oct. 6, 2026: The August trade report is out. The U.S. trade deficit widened to $105.6 billion from a revised $92.8 billion in July, the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis said. Our Tuesday day-ahead guide has the details.

The U.S. government publishes its August trade report on Tuesday, Oct. 6, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time, 12:30 GMT, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis schedule. Minutes from the Federal Reserve's Sept. 15–16 meeting follow on Wednesday at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

What is on the calendar Tuesday?

Times below are Eastern time, as listed by InvestingLive.

Time (ET)Event
2:00 a.m.German factory orders, August
4:30 a.m.U.K. construction PMI
5:00 a.m.Euro area retail sales, August
8:30 a.m.U.S. and Canadian trade balances, August
10:00 a.m.Canada Ivey PMI

InvestingLive listed forecasts of a 1.0% drop in German factory orders after a 2.5% gain the month before, and a 0.3% rise in euro area retail sales after a 0.6% fall.

Why it matters

Stocks head into Tuesday near records. The Nasdaq Composite closed at a record on Monday, and the S&P 500 ended within 0.3% of its high, according to The Associated Press. Our Monday Americas recap has the full session.

Bonds are the worry. The 10-year Treasury yield ended Monday near 5.31%, the AP reported. In Europe, the euro slipped to about $1.117 on Monday, its weakest since May 2025, as Spain called a snap election and France's finances stayed in focus, Trading Economics said.

When are the Fed minutes?

Wednesday, Oct. 7, at 2 p.m. Eastern time, according to InvestingLive and the Fed's calendar. The minutes may show how officials weighed the outlook for rates. The next decision is due Oct. 28, at the end of a two-day meeting, according to the Fed's calendar.

Also this week

  • Wednesday: a U.S. 10-year Treasury note auction at 1:01 p.m. Eastern time, InvestingLive said.

See the full market calendar for more upcoming events.

Sources

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