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The Day Ahead: Durable Goods Jump 1.8%; $70 Billion 5-Year Auction

U.S. durable goods orders rose 1.8% in September, the Census Bureau said Tuesday, Oct. 27, as futures edged up and the Fed began its two-day meeting.

By Global Market Now Staff · · 5 min read

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Photo: Frolicsome Fairy / Unsplash

Why it matters

  • Orders for durable goods rose 1.8% to $345.4 billion in September, led by a 4.6% jump in transportation equipment, the Census Bureau said at 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday, Oct. 27; excluding transportation, orders rose 0.5%.
  • S&P 500 futures were up about 0.26% and Nasdaq 100 futures 0.41% around 9:04 a.m. ET, Yahoo Finance data showed, while December Brent slipped 0.5% to about $115.22 after Monday's $115.81 settlement, per Reuters.
  • The Fed's two-day meeting starts today, with the decision Wednesday. Consumer confidence and new home sales are due at 10 a.m. ET, and Treasury sells $70 billion of 5-year notes at 1 p.m.

The day ahead: scheduled events and what forecasters expect.

Orders for long-lasting U.S. factory goods rose 1.8% in September to $345.4 billion, the Census Bureau said at 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday, Oct. 27, as U.S. stock futures edged higher on the first day of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting. S&P 500 futures were up about 0.26% and Nasdaq 100 futures 0.41% around 9:04 a.m. ET, according to Yahoo Finance data. Consumer confidence and new home sales follow at 10 a.m., and Treasury sells $70 billion of five-year notes at 1 p.m.

Where are futures before the open?

Market, about 9:04 a.m. ETLevelChange vs. Monday
S&P 500 futures7,734.75+0.26%
Nasdaq 100 futures29,559.25+0.41%
Dow futures52,592+0.08%
10-year Treasury yield (Monday close, Treasury)5.00%unchanged vs. Friday
5-year Treasury yield (Monday close, Treasury)4.84%+0.02 point vs. Friday
WTI crude, December ($/barrel)101.39−0.36%
Brent crude, December ($/barrel)115.22−0.51%
Gold futures ($/ounce)4,037.60−0.02%
U.S. dollar index102.19+0.22%

Source: Yahoo Finance chart data and Treasury. Levels are delayed and approximate; oil changes are from Monday's settlements, which Reuters reported at $115.81 for Brent and $101.76 for WTI.

On Monday the S&P 500 rose 0.70% to 7,676.77, the Nasdaq Composite 0.82% and the Dow 0.28%, Yahoo Finance data showed; see our Americas Monday recap. Overnight, the Kospi jumped 3.09% and the Nikkei 1.73% on a rebound in AI stocks, while London's FTSE 100 fell as HSBC slid; see our Asia Tuesday recap and Europe Tuesday recap.

What did the durable goods report show?

Durable goods orders rose for the sixth time in seven months, gaining $6.3 billion, or 1.8%, after a 0.1% rise in August, the Census Bureau said. Transportation equipment led, up 4.6% to $119.8 billion, and nondefense aircraft orders jumped 28.4%. Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.5%; excluding defense, they rose 2.2%.

Orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft, a gauge of business investment, rose 0.5% to about $88.0 billion, and shipments of those goods rose 1.2%, the report showed. Total durable goods shipments rose 0.9% to $336.8 billion. The October report is due Nov. 25.

What else is on the U.S. calendar today?

  • 10 a.m. ET: Consumer confidence. The Conference Board publishes its October index today at 10 a.m. ET, according to its website. The index fell 6.7 points to 81.9 in September.
  • 10 a.m. ET: New home sales. The Census Bureau's September new home sales report is due today, according to the August report, which showed sales at a 684,000 annual rate. That report was released at 10 a.m. ET.
  • 1 p.m. ET: 5-year auction. Treasury sells $70 billion of five-year notes, according to TreasuryDirect. Noncompetitive bids close at noon ET and competitive bids at 1 p.m. ET; the notes are issued Nov. 2 and mature Oct. 31, 2031. The five-year yield was 4.84% on Monday, Treasury data showed.

Which companies report today?

Several big names reported before the open, according to their releases filed with the SEC, with consensus forecasts from Nasdaq's earnings calendar and premarket moves around 9:17 a.m. ET from Yahoo Finance:

CompanyResultConsensus EPSPremarket
Coca-ColaComparable EPS $0.91; revenue up 7% to $13.4 billion; raised guidance$0.87−1.6%
BoeingCore loss $0.34 a share; revenue $24.2 billion; record $745 billion backlogloss of $0.21−2.2%
UPSAdjusted EPS $1.69; revenue up 6.7% to $22.9 billion; raised guidance$1.63−1.3%
S&P GlobalAdjusted EPS $4.58; strategic review of Capital IQ$4.43+5.6%
Royal CaribbeanAdjusted EPS $6.57; raised full-year guidance$6.38+6.5%
Sherwin-WilliamsAdjusted EPS $3.63; narrowed full-year guidance$3.65−5.6%

After the close, Visa reports its fiscal fourth-quarter results, the company said, with a call at 5 p.m. ET. Nasdaq's calendar also lists Seagate Technology, Waste Management, Robinhood, NXP Semiconductors, Teradyne and Baker Hughes after the bell.

When is the Fed decision this week?

The Federal Open Market Committee meets Oct. 27-28, with the decision on Wednesday, Oct. 28, according to the Fed's calendar. This meeting has no Summary of Economic Projections; the next one comes with the Dec. 8-9 meeting. The Fed, ECB and Bank of Japan are all expected to leave rates unchanged this week, Trading Economics said.

DateEvent
Tue., Oct. 27FOMC meeting begins; consumer confidence and new home sales (10 a.m.); $70 billion 5-year auction (1 p.m.)
Wed., Oct. 28FOMC decision; $30 billion 2-year floating-rate note auction (11:30 a.m.)
Thu., Oct. 29ECB decision; $44 billion 7-year auction (1 p.m.)

Sources: Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Census Bureau, TreasuryDirect and Trading Economics. Times are ET.

Upcoming releases are on our market calendar, and this week's shifted opening times for Europe are in our guide to world market hours.

Follow the rest of the trading day on our global market today page, with the latest Asia, Europe and Americas session recaps.

Sources

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